Dual Lens

Two views of one company

The numbers show what happened. How the company behaves shows why, and what is coming next. Where the two disagree is where the next problem sits.

A Dual Lens analysis reads public filings and the papers you send through both lenses, rates the company's four main systems, and puts my read of what comes next on page one.

Dual Lens: the numbers on one side, the behaviour on the other, and where they disagree in the middle.
Lens one

The Analyst's Eye

Revenue, margins, cash, debt, and how well the company delivers on its own guidance. What the market and the analysts are saying.

Lens two

The Organismic Lens

The company as a living system: the story it tells about itself, what it does that contradicts that story, and how healthy each of its systems is.

The Organizational Body Map

Four systems, each rated

Every analysis rates the same four systems, with the evidence behind each rating. A failing system shows up here before it shows up in the results.

Nervous System

Leadership

How fast decisions get made, and how much rides on one person.

Green
Purpose Engine

Strategy and story

Whether what the company says it is for still matches what it does.

Amber
Immune System

Controls and culture

How it responds to stress, regulators and its own mistakes.

Red
Financial Circulation

Cash and margins

Whether money moves through the business the way the story says it should.

Amber

Ratings shown are an example only.

What you get

Three ways to buy it

Sample

Public company reads

Short analyses of listed companies, free when you join The Heat Map.

Free

Snapshot

Your company, two weeks

Public filings plus the papers you send, a 12-page report with my read on page one, and a 60-minute debrief.

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Deep Dive

Snapshot plus your people

Interviews with four to six of your people and a board workshop that turns the map into owned actions.

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On the record

Predictions, then the results

Before a listed company reports, I publish what I expect, each call with a probability and a test that decides it. After the results I score every call, hits and misses alike. The running record will live here.

First predictions coming soon.

Analysis and opinion about the business, not investment advice. No buy, sell or hold recommendations.

Analyses so far
  • Pick n Pay. South African grocery retailer.
  • Sasol. South African energy and chemicals group.
  • Tesla. Electric vehicles and energy.
  • Nutun. Formerly Transaction Capital, South African financial services.
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